Combining Technical And Fundamental Trading Strategies

Die vorliegende Dissertationsschrift basiert auf der Grundidee, Aktien mit besonderem Kurspotential herauszufiltern. Prinzipiell bieten sich hierzu zwei Strategien an, die auf unterschiedlichen Prämissen fußen: die technische und die fundamentale Anlage. Die technische Anlage setzt auf die Fortsetzung bestehender Trends und verfolgt einen kurz- bis mittelfristigen Anlagehorizont. Die fundamentale Anlage hingegen zielt darauf ab, unterbewertete Aktien zu finden, um mittel- bis langfristig an deren Kursentwicklung hin zum fairen Preis zu partizipieren. In der Arbeit werden beide Anlagestrategien mit der Absicht kombiniert, komplementäre Effekte in Bezug auf die resultierenden Renditen zu erreichen. Hierzu wird exemplarisch auf zwei zentrale Strategien zurückgegriffen: die technische Momentumstrategie und die fundamentale Cashflowstrategie. Das heißt, Aktien mit hoher vergangener Rendite und hohen operativen Cashflows werden gekauft und Aktien mit geringer vergangener Rendite und geringen operativen Cashflows werden (leer)verkauft. Die Dissertationsschrift untersucht empirisch, inwieweit eine kombinierte Strategie zum Erfolg führt. Insbesondere wird empirisch gezeigt, dass eine Strategie, die auf hohen vergangenen Renditen und hohen operativen Cashflows basiert, eine signifikant positive risikoadjustierte Rendite (Überrendite) abwirft, die die Überrenditen „reiner“ Momentum- und Cashflowstrategien übersteigt. Ebenso wirft eine Anlage in Aktien mit geringen vergangenen Renditen und geringen Cashflows signifikant negative risikoadjustierte Renditen ab. Diese risikoadjustieren Renditen widersprechen der Effizienz der Märkte und führen somit zu der Frage, welche inadäquaten Reaktionen des Marktes verantwortlich waren. Diesem Problem widmet sich die Arbeitebenfalls.

More than any other, the direct access trader depends on a keen knowledge of technical analysis—charts, oscillators, price, and volume—to determine optimal entry and exit points. Technical Analysis introduces basic charts, screens, and analysis, and covers popular analytic systems including price, volume, and volatility; support and resistance; and relative strength and trends. It also explains how to combine technical and fundamental analysis for taking advantage of the best aspects of each.

Written by Philip Gotthelf, one of today's foremost futures trading authorities, TechnoFundamental Trading provides a fresh and thoroughly modern approach to fundamental analysis. By synthesizing aspects of technical analysis with fundamental analysis, Gotthelf has created a unique and powerful approach to market forecasting and trade selection. Indeed, the technofundamental approach is one of the best methods ever devised to identity long-term trends and major turning points. The technofundamental method can accomplish all of the following: identity major price trends before they begin; distinguish between a "technical market reaction" and a significant top or bottom; understand the relationship between seemingly unrelated phenomena, such as grain prices and interest rates or currencies and gold; distinguish between "reactionary fundamentals" with "prospective fundamentals"; identify long-term economic cycles; analyze supply and demand using new "technical approaches; and interpret technical indicators in light of market fundamentals. Unlike many technical methods, the technofundamental approach does not negate a trader's power of analysis and interpretation. Indeed, technofundamentals place a premium on the trader's ability to interpret the interplay between fundamental and technical forces. For trades with superior analytical and creative abilities, the technofundamental method will provide a big edge over purely technical traders.

Finally, an investing book which isn’t an infomercial! When you are learning to trade, there are 2 types of books that you don't need. There are the dry-as-dust academic books that require a PhD in math to read. And then there are the books about a trader who turned $5,000 into $100 million, but with no details about how he did it… but he’ll let you pay thousands of dollars to learn how. Here’s the deal. Position trading is how men like Warren Buffett and Ray Dalio amassed a net worth of tens of billions of dollars. By trading a few times per year, rather than a few times per day. Which is why people who have followed their advice to the letter… Have literally made millions of dollars just from doing exactly as the advice suggests... No more and no less! And many of these people started of as small part-time traders like you and I. Over the years, the team at Alpha Bull Traders has continually refined a position trading strategy which has resulted in untold amounts of profit. Using a combination of western technical and fundamental analysis and ancient Japanese candlestick charting techniques – we are able to note which days you should… and more importantly which days you shouldn’t be trading. Because here’s the big “secret” which people don’t want you to know… You only need to trade between 5-15 times a year to make huge profits in the stock market! In fact, some years have seen huge gains in our portfolio with as little as 3 trades. Here’s just a fraction of what you’ll learn inside: How to easily profit from the bear market with one simple fund. 95% of beginner investors and trader don’t know about it, and yet you can easily net 10-12% a year in a bear market. The #1 thing new traders miss about aftermarket trading. Get this right and you’ll have a huge advantage How to set a proper stop loss so you don’t get stopped out prematurely. One of the biggest mistakes new traders make is having a stop loss which is too tight. Do this instead and you’ll profit when the market moves in your favor. The “zen trader” strategy which makes you immune to losses (which although rare, will occur with any trading plan) A useful, yet barely known website which breaks company news faster than relying on mainstream news services. How to use the “other 80/20 rule” to profit from short term price movements. 3 profit securing lessons to learn from the DOTCOM bubble How to beat the market without spending hours each day monitoring stocks. Why a new trader should never trade cryptocurrency, and what to trade instead How one trader made $1.4 million in a single day with 1 options trade, and why you shouldn’t try to replicate their strategy Money management for absolute beginners How to profit from legal marijuana (all the upside of cannabis growing companies but without the red tape and volatility) …and much, much more. You may have experienced various obnoxious and even misleading advertisements of easy, get rich trading strategies. This is not one of those. You won’t have to spend thousands on expensive trading software or “magic bullet systems” In fact, you can get started using an online trading account and use free websites for your information (you’ll find the best two in Chapter 7) You will build up both your skills and confidence, with practical “how-to” approaches. All written in plain, easy to understand English. So if you want to make money in your spare time, and have fun while doing it… scroll up and click “add to cart”

Introduces you to a powerful trading approach that integrates knowledge of fundamentals and trader psychology with specific technical indicators for a sensible trading program.

The workbook is organized to provide a critical foundation for every trader at every level of experience. The material is designed to offer an in-depth understanding of technical analysis and demonstrates how to implement technical indicators and indicator combinations. If you read the material and do the exercises provided, you will be on your way to success in trading!

The forex market is huge and offers tremendous trading opportunities. There are many different tools for analyzing the forex market. But what are the best tools and the best ways to use them to trade most effectively? Forex Analysis and Trading organizes the most widely used—although disparate—approaches to forex analysis into one synergistic, robust, and powerful framework. This system draws on fundamental, position, and technical analyses to identify profitable currency positions, enabling traders to make the best decisions regarding major currencies. Marta and Brusuelas are forex trading professionals with years of experience analyzing and trading every major currency.

There are three important conditions to trade successfully in any financial market: a strong fundamental landscape, a nice market structure, and an accurately-measured trading range. If fundamentals agree, and the market structure has proven itself, knowing the trading range is the only thing you need. This book contains a wide variety of technical analysis methods and techniques in order to help investors recognize market structure in early stages, identify support and resistance, and accurately measure the trading range. However, the complex world of financial trading is a zero-sum game. Someone has to lose in order for someone else to make a profit. And as there are a few people making a lot of money, there are a lot of others who lose constantly. This is why clever investors always add a contrarian flavor to their decision-making process, and most of the time, trade against the public sentiment. All financial asset classes follow a similar pattern that starts with fear and ends with greed. Smart traders enter the market when the fear of retail traders pushes prices below their ‘fair value’ and sell when the retail greed pushes prices well above their ‘fair value.’ This never-ending circle between fear and greed creates numerous opportunities for patient traders. On a macro scale, fundamental analysis is the perfect tool for identifying the ‘fair value’ of a financial asset and measure risk. Risk and reward are the two crucial inputs of any investment decision. In addition, technical analysis is useful for the identification of price trends and the optimization of entries in the market. Professional traders use both these analysis methods in their decision-making process. They use fundamental analysis to decide what to buy and technical analysis to decide when to buy. To summarize this concept in just one phrase, always think like a fundamentalist investor when deciding what to buy and act as a technician trader when entering the market. Think like a whale and trade as a shark. Successful trading requires a strong personality and a character that will allow you to trade without fear and greed. Weak hands lose money in the long-run. The stronger your character, the stronger your hands. If you want to be a successful trader, start by building your character, something that cannot be easily taught. CHAPTERS This book covers a wide range of fundamental resources and technical analysis techniques in order to help investors seek proof in the right place. Any successful trading decision must have a fundamental background. Chapter 1 begins with the basics of fundamental analysis when trading equities, Forex currencies, and cryptocurrencies. The main goal of studying fundamentals is to identify investment opportunities. Opportunity can be defined as the difference between the current price of an asset and its real value. Fundamental analysis can recognize risk and reward, the two most crucial inputs of the decision-making process. In Chapters, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6, you will find various technical analysis methods with many examples and charts. Trading charts can be read significantly easier than raw data. Reading charts is useful not only for identifying key trends but also for recognizing major support and resistance levels. Furthermore, you will learn how to use moving averages, RSI, the Fibonacci Numbers, the Fibonacci Retracement, and the definition of the long-term trend in any financial market. By combining all these different technical analysis tools, you will be able to recognize any market conditions, identify strong trends, spot the potential levels of a trend reversal, but most importantly accurately measure the trading range. In Chapter 7, you will learn about the role of market volatility and its importance for managing risk and achieving portfolio diversification. How to use the Bollinger Bands and ATR when trading indices, and Beta when trading individual stocks. In addition, you will learn about the VIX Index and its ability to predict a financial crisis, but also how to use options contracts to spot incoming market volatility. Finally, you will learn about the basics of Foreign Exchange and cryptocurrency volatility. In Chapter 8, you will find information about seasonality statistics and seasonal patterns. Seasonality refers to a time period in which market data tends to experience common and predictable behavior. Whenever a seasonal pattern has been repeated regularly, it becomes statistically significant. However, seasonality reflects an average reliance on past market data. That means seasonal patterns provide a window of opportunity and not an independent forecasting framework. A seasonal pattern can be any price pattern correlated to a particular month, quarter, or semester. You will be able to find seasonal patterns for Dow Jones Industrial, three popular currency pairs (EURUSD, GBPUSD, and USDJPY), and two key cryptocurrency pairs (Bitcoin and Ethereum against the US dollar). In Chapter 9, you will learn about market sentiment. The market sentiment refers to the views, opinions, and expectations of investors toward the future market conditions. It is very important to distinguish between the experts’ sentiment that you should trade in line with it and the public sentiment, that you should generally trade against it. The greatest trading opportunities in life are against the general public sentiment. You will learn also about the Fear & Greed index, the Overnight Repo Rate, the Perpetual Contracts, and how to use the Commitment of Traders (COT) report. If there is one golden rule when investing, it’s to always diversify your investment decisions. This rule is applicable in every aspect of our life. In Chapter 10, you will learn about money management. Money management refers to the process of achieving risk control over your portfolio by eliminating the unnecessary risk, and it is a key ingredient of long-term trading success. You will learn about market correlations, cross-market connections, position-sizing, the 2% rule, the Reward/Risk Ratio, the Win Ratio, and why you should always trade small account sizes. By combining the information and tools presented in this book you have the opportunity to better understand the mechanics of the global financial markets and significantly increase your odds of winning in the long-run. Success is all about education and building the right character. The more educated you become the stronger your character when others are greedy, and the stronger your hands when others are fearful. George M. Protonotarios, Financial Analyst - M.Sc “Int. Banking & Finance” Salford, UK www.TradingCenter.org

Gives a view of the sharemarket for the beginning trader. Its primary aim is to help the inexperienced investor to understand the sharemarket, apply trading strategies and take the first step to trading successfully.

This book shows traders how to use Intermarket Analysis to forecast future equity, index and commodity price movements. It introduces custom indicators and Intermarket based systems using basic mathematical and statistical principles to help traders develop and design Intermarket trading systems appropriate for long term, intermediate, short term and day trading. The metastock code for all systems is included and the testing method is described thoroughly. All systems are back tested using at least 200 bars of historical data and compared using various profitability and drawdown metrics.