A Simultaneous Test Of The Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model The Arbitrage Pricing Theory And The Index Model

Diploma Thesis from the year 1996 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1,3, European Business School - International University Schlo Reichartshausen Oestrich-Winkel, 160 entries in the bibliography, language: English, abstract: A "few surprises" could be the trivial answer of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory if asked for the major determinants of stock returns. The APT was developed as a traceable framework of the main principles of capital asset pricing in financial markets. It investigates the causes underlying one of the most important fields in financial economics, namely the relationship between risk and return. The APT provides a thorough understanding of the nature and origins of risk inherent in financial assets and how capital markets reward an investor for bearing risk. Its fundamental intuition is the absence of arbitrage which is, indeed, central to finance and which has been used in virtually all areas of financial study. Since its introduction two decades ago, the APT has been subject to extensive theoretical as well as empirical research. By now, the arbitrage theory is well established in both respects and has enlightened our perception of capital markets. This paper aims to present the APT as an appropriate instrument of capital asset pricing and to link its principles to the valuation of risky income streams. The objective is also to provide an overview of the state of art of APT in the context of alternative capital market theories. For this purpose, Section 2 describes the basic concepts of the traditional asset pricing model, the CAPM, and indicates differences to arbitrage theory. Section 3 constitutes the main part of this paper introducing a derivation of the APT. Emphasis is laid on principles rather than on rigorous proof. The intuition of the pricing formula and its consistency with the state space preference theory are discussed. Important contributions to the APT are classified and br

This book consists of two essays on new approaches for the Arbitrage Pricing Theory and the Present Value Model, and one essay on cross-sectional correlations in panel data. The new approaches are designed to study a large number of securities over time. They can be employed by security analysts to discover market anomalies without assuming observable factors or constant risk premium. The book shows how these two approaches can be used to determine how many systematic factors affect the U.S. stock market.

Two of the most important and well known models for predicting equity returns ar e the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT). This project will first examine and compare these two models theoretically fro m all aspects focusing on the strengths and weaknesses of each while taking into consideration past empirical work. In addition, this project will compare the empirical performance of the CAPM and the APT, specifically the Fama-French Thre e Factor Model, in predicting stock returns using stocks on the Dow Jones Indust rial Average. Using traditional measures such as the adjusted R-Squared, t-stat istic, and Wald test, no model was found to be superior to the other. As a resu lt, the Hansen-Jagannathan Distance test was used as a second resort. This test shows that the CAPM is actually superior to the APT. Chapter I will introduce both models and their implications. Chapter II and III will focus on the CAPM and APT respectively describing all their aspects includ ing evolution, strengths, weaknesses and past empirical applications. Chapter I V will comprise of an empirical study comparing both models to see which one doe s a better job in predicting equity returns. Chapter V will conclude the projec t with certain policy implications.