The Eu Sa Free Trade Agreement

The EU has indicated that after 2008 its trade relationships with developing countries will be dominated by the development of preferential trade agreements. Although not a consequence of the Cotonou Agreement, the free trade agreement between the EU and the Republic of South Africa (EU RSA FTA) was clearly one of the first fruits of this approach to trade relationships. However, there is no evidence that the design of the EU RSA FTA incorporated a comprehensive general equilibrium evaluation of the agreement for either the signatories or the other southern African nations. The analyses reported here indicate that while the EU RSA FTA may substantially benefit the signatories, there are appreciable negative impacts for other states, especially the Republic of South Africa's immediate neighbours. Moreover, the analyses indicate that the structural adjustments for African economies signalled by the FTA are substantial, which implies that there will be substantial economic costs associated with the FTA.

Abstract: This study summarizes the findings of the technical assistance provided jointly by UNCTAD and the Trade and Industrial Policy Secretariat (TIPS) to the Department of Trade and Industry of South Africa during its negotiations with the European Union for a Free Trade Area (FTA) Agreement. The technical assistance programme involved preparing and keeping up to date a complete data set of South African-European Union trade and tariffs as well as the negotiating proposals in digital format at the tariff line level. This effort was completed by the customization of the SMART (Software on Market Analysis and Restrictions on Trade) simulation model for the specific purpose of the negotiations. This allowed for the simulation of the impact of the proposed FTA Agreement on bilateral trade flows as well as on trade with other commercial partners.