Taking Up The Security Challenge Of Climate Change

"Climate change, in which man-made global warming is a major factor, will likely have dramatic and long lasting consequences with profound security implications, making it a challenge the United States must urgently take up. The security implications will be most pronounced in places where the effects of climate change are greatest, particularly affecting weak states already especially vulnerable to environmental destabilization. Two things are vitally important: stemming the tide of climate change and adapting to its far-reaching consequences. This project examines the destabilizing effects of climate change and how the military could be used to mitigate global warming and to assist at-risk peoples and states to adapt to climate change, thereby promoting stability and sustainable security. Recommendations are made on the importance of U.S. leadership on the critical issue of global warming, on defining and dealing with the strategic dimensions of climate change, and, as a case in point, on how Sino-American cooperation in Africa would not only benefit areas where climate change effects are already pronounced, but also strengthen a crucial bilateral relationship."--Abstract.

Climate change can reasonably be expected to increase the frequency and intensity of a variety of potentially disruptive environmental events-slowly at first, but then more quickly. It is prudent to expect to be surprised by the way in which these events may cascade, or have far-reaching effects. During the coming decade, certain climate-related events will produce consequences that exceed the capacity of the affected societies or global systems to manage; these may have global security implications. Although focused on events outside the United States, Climate and Social Stress: Implications for Security Analysis recommends a range of research and policy actions to create a whole-of-government approach to increasing understanding of complex and contingent connections between climate and security, and to inform choices about adapting to and reducing vulnerability to climate change.

Connections between climate change and national security are receiving unprecedented attention from policymakers and analysts. In this report, Joshua W. Busby moves the discussion from broad assessments of the links between climate and security to a plan for action.

Climate change is occurring. It is very likely caused by the emission of greenhouse gases from human activities, and poses significant risks for a range of human and natural systems. And these emissions continue to increase, which will result in further change and greater risks. America's Climate Choices makes the case that the environmental, economic, and humanitarian risks posed by climate change indicate a pressing need for substantial action now to limit the magnitude of climate change and to prepare for adapting to its impacts. Although there is some uncertainty about future risk, acting now will reduce the risks posed by climate change and the pressure to make larger, more rapid, and potentially more expensive reductions later. Most actions taken to reduce vulnerability to climate change impacts are common sense investments that will offer protection against natural climate variations and extreme events. In addition, crucial investment decisions made now about equipment and infrastructure can "lock in" commitments to greenhouse gas emissions for decades to come. Finally, while it may be possible to scale back or reverse many responses to climate change, it is difficult or impossible to "undo" climate change, once manifested. Current efforts of local, state, and private-sector actors are important, but not likely to yield progress comparable to what could be achieved with the addition of strong federal policies that establish coherent national goals and incentives, and that promote strong U.S. engagement in international-level response efforts. The inherent complexities and uncertainties of climate change are best met by applying an iterative risk management framework and making efforts to significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions; prepare for adapting to impacts; invest in scientific research, technology development, and information systems; and facilitate engagement between scientific and technical experts and the many types of stakeholders making America's climate choices.

First Published in 2009. Routledge is an imprint of Taylor & Francis, an informa company.

Climate change affects human health in all sectors of society, both domestically & globally. The sea-level rise, changes in precipitation resulting in flooding & drought, heat waves, more intense hurricanes & storms, and degraded air quality, affect human health. This book is an attempt to unravel the new non-traditional challenges that the UN will face in coming decades if the states fail to keep the climate change fixed at the threshold of 2 degrees Celsius as agreed at the COP 21 conference in Paris by all the states results in intra and inter-state conflict. Please note: Taylor & Francis does not sell or distribute the Hardback in India, Pakistan, Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka.

"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

Is global climate change likely to become a significant source of violent conflict, and should it therefore be seen as a national security challenge? Most Northern governments, militaries, think tanks and NGOs believe so, as do many academic researchers, on the grounds that increased temperatures, changing precipitation patterns and rising sea levels will worsen existing social stresses, especially within poor societies and marginal communities across Africa and Asia. This book argues otherwise. The first collection of its kind, it brings together leading scholars of Anthropology, Geography, Development Studies and International Relations to provide a series of critical analyses of mainstream thinking on the climate-security nexus. It shows how policy discourse on climate conflict consistently misrepresents the causes of violence, especially by obscuring its core political dimensions. It demonstrates that quantitative research provides a flawed basis for understanding climate-conflict linkages. It argues that climate security discourse is in hoc with a range of questionable military, authoritarian and developmental agendas. And it reveals that the greening of global capitalism is already having violent consequences across the global South. Climate change, the book argues, does indeed have serious conflict and security implications – but these are quite different from how they are usually imagined. This book was published as a special issue of Geopolitics.

The speed and scale of climate change presents unique and potentially monumental security implications for individuals, future generations, international institutions and states. Long-dominant security paradigms and policies may no longer be appropriate for dealing with these new security risks of the Anthropocene. In response to this phenomenon, this book investigates how states have reacted to these new challenges and how their different understandings of the climate-security nexus might shape global actions on climate change. It focuses on the perceptions, framings, and policies of climate security by members of the United Nations Security Council (UNSC), the world's highest ranking multilateral security forum. Empirically, the book presents detailed, bottom-up case studies from local authors of every UNSC member state in 2020. It combines this with an innovative theoretical approach spanning national, human and ecological security that helps to capture the complex dynamics of state-led approaches to dealing with security in the Anthropocene. This book therefore offers readers a compelling picture of climate-security politics in the UNSC, beyond Council debates and resolutions. By comparing and contrasting how different framings of climate security impact various policy sectors of members states, the authors are able to assess the barriers and opportunities for addressing climate security locally and globally. “This timely contribution to the literature on climate security examines the under-analysed relationship between the policy approaches of key countries at the national, and at the international level. Policy alignment at multiple levels of governance will be critical if we are to respond adequately to the ubiquitous challenges posed by climate change and variability.” Shirley Scott, Head of School and Professor, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, UNSW Canberra at the Australian Defence Force Academy (Australia). "Climate change is increasingly considered a problem of 'security', yet what that means remains deeply contested. Behind the rhetoric of 'climate crisis’, threats and 'emergencies’, UN Security Council members offer profoundly different ideas about what climate change – and security – mean, and what should be done about it. This book brilliantly lays out the hidden or overlooked divergences of interests and perspectives on 'climate security' that are playing out in the world's most central security institution, as it grapples with securing a climate unstable world." Olaf Corry, Professor of Global Security Challenges, Faculty of Social Sciences, School of Politics and International Studies, University of Leeds (United Kingdom). "Security is a contested concept, whose scope and direction are subject to change. The prime value of this volume is the systematic documentation of the dynamics in defining what security is about in reaction to ever dramatic climate change. The book's focus on a somewhat representative sample of states – the members of the Security Council – provides robust evidence that even though many governments remain reluctant to retreat from traditional perceptions of security, there is a large and growing acceptance of the need to adjust priorities in providing security in response to climate change and its consequences." Michael Brzoska, Professor and Senior Research Fellow, IFSH Institute for Peace Research and Security Policy, Universität Hamburg (Germany). "The climate security literature has often been labelled as West-centric with little recognition of knowledge production processes, and different historical, socio-economic, and political experiences of various societies in the Global South. This book goes beyond the conventional approaches to provide a whole range of perspectives on climate security reflective of diverse contextual realities – covering factors such as development imperatives, conflict dynamics, postcolonial legacies, institutional/actor complexities, and geopolitical contestations, among others. By focusing on the climate security approaches of various countries (case studies) at the domestic and international levels, the applicability of existing climate security frameworks (or lack thereof) in the context of these case studies is brilliantly brought out by the chapters. This book weaves together these diverse perspectives by providing a comprehensive overview of climate security-related policies of countries from both Global South and Global North; and their positions on climate change and security in the UNSC. They reflect the varying norms, interests, priorities, and challenges that continue to shape the climate security agenda within the UNSC as well as non-UNSC platforms. This book is a must read for anyone interested in gaining an in-depth and invigorating understanding of the evolution of distinct climate security discourses and practices in varying contexts." Dhanasree Jayaram, Assistant Professor, Department of Geopolitics and International Relations, Manipal Academy of Higher Education (MAHE) (India), Research Fellow. Centre Marc Bloch. "Climate Security in the Anthropocene provides a timely and compelling account of the conceptualizations of the climate security nexus and their implications. By considering climate security through the lenses of national, human and ecological security it provides a sophisticated account of the different dimensions involved in the UNSC debates and beyond. The collection of chapters illustrating the positions of the members of the UN Security Council in 2020, not only provide an informative account but also sheds light on the challenges that the UNSC faces in dealing with climate change." Maria Julia Trombetta, Associate Professor in Politics and Environment, School of International Studies, Institute of Asia and Pacific Studies, University of Nottingham Ningbo China (China). "The book “Climate Security in the Anthropocene” is the first systematic assessment of climate security decision-making and governance of the UN Security Council. It is groundbreaking as it combines empirical bottom-up case studies of perceptions and policies of different ministries and governmental agencies of UNSC member states with a novel theoretical framework contrasting different security framings and conceptions in the Anthropocene. Discussing various policy sectors, the study assesses barriers and opportunities and provides novel insights on multi-scale responses and interactions in the climate-security nexus from local to global levels, connecting individuals, future generations, international institutions and states. The book is highly recommendable for everyone interested in the emerging field of policy-oriented climate-security research." Jürgen Scheffran, Professor for Integrative Geography, Head of the Research Group, “Climate Change and Security” (CLISEC), Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability, Universität Hamburg (Germany). "This volume provides multifocal insights into the climate/security nexus, combining critical security studies and international relations theories in the age of the Anthropocene. Analyzing the perceptions, policies, and positions of 15 UN Security Council member states, this thought-provoking piece demonstrates how national security, human security, and ecological security have advanced as conceptual innovations. Offering a rich and diverse range of empirical case studies, this piece is a strong contribution to academic discourse and teaching alike." Franziska MüllerJunior Professor for Political Science, Faculty of Business, Economics and Social Sciences, Universität Hamburg (Germany).