Limit Theorems In Change Point Analysis

Change-point problems arise in a variety of experimental and mathematical sciences, as well as in engineering and health sciences. This rigorously researched text provides a comprehensive review of recent probabilistic methods for detecting various types of possible changes in the distribution of chronologically ordered observations. Further developing the already well-established theory of weighted approximations and weak convergence, the authors provide a thorough survey of parametric and non-parametric methods, regression and time series models together with sequential methods. All but the most basic models are carefully developed with detailed proofs, and illustrated by using a number of data sets. Contains a thorough survey of: The Likelihood Approach Non-Parametric Methods Linear Models Dependent Observations This book is undoubtedly of interest to all probabilists and statisticians, experimental and health scientists, engineers, and essential for those working on quality control and surveillance problems. Foreword by David Kendall

Probability, Statistics and Modelling in Public Health consists of refereed contributions by expert biostatisticians that discuss various probabilistic and statistical models used in public health. Many of them are based on the work of Marvin Zelen of the Harvard School of Public Health. Topics discussed include models based on Markov and semi-Markov processes, multi-state models, models and methods in lifetime data analysis, accelerated failure models, design and analysis of clinical trials, Bayesian methods, pharmaceutical and environmental statistics, degradation models, epidemiological methods, screening programs, early detection of diseases, and measurement and analysis of quality of life.

This book covers the development of methods for detection and estimation of changes in complex systems. These systems are generally described by nonstationary stochastic models, which comprise both static and dynamic regimes, linear and nonlinear dynamics, and constant and time-variant structures of such systems. It covers both retrospective and sequential problems, particularly theoretical methods of optimal detection. Such methods are constructed and their characteristics are analyzed both theoretically and experimentally. Suitable for researchers working in change-point analysis and stochastic modelling, the book includes theoretical details combined with computer simulations and practical applications. Its rigorous approach will be appreciated by those looking to delve into the details of the methods, as well as those looking to apply them.

This volume features original contributions and invited review articles on mathematical statistics, statistical simulation and experimental design. The selected peer-reviewed contributions originate from the 8th International Workshop on Simulation held in Vienna in 2015. The book is intended for mathematical statisticians, Ph.D. students and statisticians working in medicine, engineering, pharmacy, psychology, agriculture and other related fields. The International Workshops on Simulation are devoted to statistical techniques in stochastic simulation, data collection, design of scientific experiments and studies representing broad areas of interest. The first 6 workshops took place in St. Petersburg, Russia, in 1994 – 2009 and the 7th workshop was held in Rimini, Italy, in 2013.

The explosive development of information science and technology puts in new problems involving statistical data analysis. These problems result from higher re quirements concerning the reliability of statistical decisions, the accuracy of math ematical models and the quality of control in complex systems. A new aspect of statistical analysis has emerged, closely connected with one of the basic questions of cynergetics: how to "compress" large volumes of experimental data in order to extract the most valuable information from data observed. De tection of large "homogeneous" segments of data enables one to identify "hidden" regularities in an object's behavior, to create mathematical models for each seg ment of homogeneity, to choose an appropriate control, etc. Statistical methods dealing with the detection of changes in the characteristics of random processes can be of great use in all these problems. These methods have accompanied the rapid growth in data beginning from the middle of our century. According to a tradition of more than thirty years, we call this sphere of statistical analysis the "theory of change-point detection. " During the last fifteen years, we have witnessed many exciting developments in the theory of change-point detection. New promising directions of research have emerged, and traditional trends have flourished anew. Despite this, most of the results are widely scattered in the literature and few monographs exist. A real need has arisen for up-to-date books which present an account of important current research trends, one of which is the theory of non parametric change--point detection.

Limit theorems for stochastic processes are an important part of probability theory and mathematical statistics and one model that has attracted the attention of many researchers working in the area is that of limit theorems for randomly stopped stochastic processes.This volume is the first to present a state-of-the-art overview of this field, with many of the results published for the first time. It covers the general conditions as well as the basic applications of the theory, and it covers and demystifies the vast, and technically demanding, Russian literature in detail. A survey of the literature and an extended bibliography of works in the area are also provided.The coverage is thorough, streamlined and arranged according to difficulty for use as an upper-level text if required. It is an essential reference for theoretical and applied researchers in the fields of probability and statistics that will contribute to the continuing extensive studies in the area and remain relevant for years to come.

'This is a solid mathematical treatment of some topics in the analysis of change-point models. The book is intended for graduate students and scientific researchers using statistics in practice.'zbMATHThis book provides a detailed exposition of the specific properties of methods of estimation and test in a wide range of models with changes. They include parametric and nonparametric models for samples, series, point processes and diffusion processes, with changes at the threshold of variables or at a time or an index of sampling.The book contains many new results and fills a gap in statistics literature, where the asymptotic properties of the estimators and test statistics in singular models are not sufficiently developed. It is suitable for graduate students and scientific researchers working in the industry, governmental laboratories and academia.

This account of recent works on weakly dependent, long memory and multifractal processes introduces new dependence measures for studying complex stochastic systems and includes other topics such as the dependence structure of max-stable processes.