Ensembles Of Type 2 Fuzzy Neural Models And Their Optimization With Bio Inspired Algorithms For Time Series Prediction

This book focuses on the fields of hybrid intelligent systems based on fuzzy systems, neural networks, bio-inspired algorithms and time series. This book describes the construction of ensembles of Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Neural Networks models and the optimization of their fuzzy integrators with bio-inspired algorithms for time series prediction. Interval type-2 and type-1 fuzzy systems are used to integrate the outputs of the Ensemble of Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Neural Network models. Genetic Algorithms and Particle Swarm Optimization are the Bio-Inspired algorithms used for the optimization of the fuzzy response integrators. The Mackey-Glass, Mexican Stock Exchange, Dow Jones and NASDAQ time series are used to test of performance of the proposed method. Prediction errors are evaluated by the following metrics: Mean Absolute Error, Mean Square Error, Root Mean Square Error, Mean Percentage Error and Mean Absolute Percentage Error. The proposed prediction model outperforms state of the art methods in predicting the particular time series considered in this work.

This book shows the potential of entropy and information theory in forecasting, including both theoretical developments and empirical applications. The contents cover a great diversity of topics, such as the aggregation and combination of individual forecasts, the comparison of forecasting performance, and the debate concerning the tradeoff between complexity and accuracy. Analyses of forecasting uncertainty, robustness, and inconsistency are also included, as are proposals for new forecasting approaches. The proposed methods encompass a variety of time series techniques (e.g., ARIMA, VAR, state space models) as well as econometric methods and machine learning algorithms. The empirical contents include both simulated experiments and real-world applications focusing on GDP, M4-Competition series, confidence and industrial trend surveys, and stock exchange composite indices, among others. In summary, this collection provides an engaging insight into entropy applications for forecasting, offering an interesting overview of the current situation and suggesting possibilities for further research in this field.

In time series forecasting, information presentation directly affects prediction efficiency. Most existing time series forecasting models follow logical rules according to the relationships between neighboring states, without considering the inconsistency of fluctuations for a related period. In this paper, we propose a new perspective to study the problem of prediction, in which inconsistency is quantified and regarded as a key characteristic of prediction rules. First, a time series is converted to a fluctuation time series by comparing each of the current data with corresponding previous data.

Bio-Inspired Hybrid Intelligent Systems for Image Analysis and Pattern Recognition comprises papers on diverse aspects of bio-inspired models, soft computing and hybrid intelligent systems. The articles are divided into four main parts. The first one consists of papers that propose new fuzzy and bio-inspired models to solve general problems. The second part deals with the main theme of modular neural networks in pattern recognition, which are basically papers using bio-inspired techniques. The third part contains papers that apply hybrid intelligent systems to the problem of time series analysis and prediction, while the fourth one shows papers dealing with bio-inspired models in optimization and robotics applications. An edited book in which both theoretical and application aspects are covered.

This book highlights recent advances in the design of hybrid intelligent systems based on nature-inspired optimization and their application in areas such as intelligent control and robotics, pattern recognition, time series prediction, and optimization of complex problems. The book is divided into seven main parts, the first of which addresses theoretical aspects of and new concepts and algorithms based on type-2 and intuitionistic fuzzy logic systems. The second part focuses on neural network theory, and explores the applications of neural networks in diverse areas, such as time series prediction and pattern recognition. The book’s third part presents enhancements to meta-heuristics based on fuzzy logic techniques and describes new nature-inspired optimization algorithms that employ fuzzy dynamic adaptation of parameters, while the fourth part presents diverse applications of nature-inspired optimization algorithms. In turn, the fifth part investigates applications of fuzzy logic in diverse areas, such as time series prediction and pattern recognition. The sixth part examines new optimization algorithms and their applications. Lastly, the seventh part is dedicated to the design and application of different hybrid intelligent systems.

This book describes recent advances on fuzzy logic, neural networks and optimization algorithms, as well as their hybrid combinations, and their application in areas such as intelligent control and robotics, pattern recognition, medical diagnosis, time series prediction and optimization of complex problems. The book contains a collection of papers focused on hybrid intelligent systems based on soft computing. There are some papers with the main theme of type-1 and type-2 fuzzy logic, which basically consists of papers that propose new concepts and algorithms based on type-1 and type-2 fuzzy logic and their applications. There are also some papers that present theory and practice of meta-heuristics in different areas of application. Another group of papers describes diverse applications of fuzzy logic, neural networks and hybrid intelligent systems in medical applications. There are also some papers that present theory and practice of neural networks in different areas of application. In addition, there are papers that present theory and practice of optimization and evolutionary algorithms in different areas of application. Finally, there are some papers describing applications of fuzzy logic, neural networks and meta-heuristics in pattern recognition problems.

This book describes recent advances on hybrid intelligent systems using soft computing techniques for diverse areas of application, such as intelligent control and robotics, pattern recognition, time series prediction and optimization complex problems. Soft Computing (SC) consists of several intelligent computing paradigms, including fuzzy logic, neural networks and bio-inspired optimization algorithms, which can be used to produce powerful hybrid intelligent systems. The book is organized in five main parts, which contain a group of papers around a similar subject. The first part consists of papers with the main theme of type-2 fuzzy logic, which basically consists of papers that propose new models and applications for type-2 fuzzy systems. The second part contains papers with the main theme of bio-inspired optimization algorithms, which are basically papers using nature-inspired techniques to achieve optimization of complex optimization problems in diverse areas of application. The third part contains papers that deal with new models and applications of neural networks in real world problems. The fourth part contains papers with the theme of intelligent optimization methods, which basically consider the proposal of new methods of optimization to solve complex real world optimization problems. The fifth part contains papers with the theme of evolutionary methods and intelligent computing, which are papers considering soft computing methods for applications related to diverse areas, such as natural language processing, recommending systems and optimization.

The two volume set LNAI 9413 + LNAI 9414 constitutes the proceedings of the 14th Mexican International Conference on Artificial Intelligence, MICAI 2015, held in Cuernavaca, Morelos, Mexico, in October 2015. The total of 98 papers presented in these proceedings was carefully reviewed and selected from 297 submissions. They were organized in topical sections named: natural language processing; logic and multi-agent systems; bioinspired algorithms; neural networks; evolutionary algorithms; fuzzy logic; machine learning and data mining; natural language processing applications; educational applications; biomedical applications; image processing and computer vision; search and optimization; forecasting; and intelligent applications.

This book describes the latest advances in fuzzy logic, neural networks, and optimization algorithms, as well as their hybrid intelligent combinations, and their applications in the areas such as intelligent control, robotics, pattern recognition, medical diagnosis, time series prediction, and optimization. The topic is highly relevant as most current intelligent systems and devices use some form of intelligent feature to enhance their performance. The book also presents new and advanced models and algorithms of type-2 fuzzy logic and intuitionistic fuzzy systems, which are of great interest to researchers in these areas. Further, it proposes novel, nature-inspired optimization algorithms and innovative neural models. Featuring contributions on theoretical aspects as well as applications, the book appeals to a wide audience.

This book presents recent advances on the design of intelligent systems based on fuzzy logic, neural networks and nature-inspired optimization and their application in areas such as, intelligent control and robotics, pattern recognition, time series prediction and optimization of complex problems. The book is organized in eight main parts, which contain a group of papers around a similar subject. The first part consists of papers with the main theme of theoretical aspects of fuzzy logic, which basically consists of papers that propose new concepts and algorithms based on fuzzy systems. The second part contains papers with the main theme of neural networks theory, which are basically papers dealing with new concepts and algorithms in neural networks. The third part contains papers describing applications of neural networks in diverse areas, such as time series prediction and pattern recognition. The fourth part contains papers describing new nature-inspired optimization algorithms. The fifth part presents diverse applications of nature-inspired optimization algorithms. The sixth part contains papers describing new optimization algorithms. The seventh part contains papers describing applications of fuzzy logic in diverse areas, such as time series prediction and pattern recognition. Finally, the eighth part contains papers that present enhancements to meta-heuristics based on fuzzy logic techniques.