Bayesian Analysis In Statistics And Econometrics

This book is a definitive work that captures the current state of knowledge of Bayesian Analysis in Statistics and Econometrics and attempts to move it forward. It covers such topics as foundations, forecasting inferential matters, regression, computation and applications.

Tools to improve decision making in an imperfect world This publication provides readers with a thorough understanding of Bayesian analysis that is grounded in the theory of inference and optimal decision making. Contemporary Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics provides readers with state-of-the-art simulation methods and models that are used to solve complex real-world problems. Armed with a strong foundation in both theory and practical problem-solving tools, readers discover how to optimize decision making when faced with problems that involve limited or imperfect data. The book begins by examining the theoretical and mathematical foundations of Bayesian statistics to help readers understand how and why it is used in problem solving. The author then describes how modern simulation methods make Bayesian approaches practical using widely available mathematical applications software. In addition, the author details how models can be applied to specific problems, including: * Linear models and policy choices * Modeling with latent variables and missing data * Time series models and prediction * Comparison and evaluation of models The publication has been developed and fine- tuned through a decade of classroom experience, and readers will find the author's approach very engaging and accessible. There are nearly 200 examples and exercises to help readers see how effective use of Bayesian statistics enables them to make optimal decisions. MATLAB? and R computer programs are integrated throughout the book. An accompanying Web site provides readers with computer code for many examples and datasets. This publication is tailored for research professionals who use econometrics and similar statistical methods in their work. With its emphasis on practical problem solving and extensive use of examples and exercises, this is also an excellent textbook for graduate-level students in a broad range of fields, including economics, statistics, the social sciences, business, and public policy.

This volume is based on the invited and the contributed presentations given at the Indo-U.S. Workshop on Bayesian Analysis in Statistics and Econometrics (BASE), Dec. 19-23, 1988, held at the Hotel Taj Residency, Bangalore, India. The workshop was jointly sponsored by The Ohio State University, The Indian Statistical Institute, The Indian Econometrics So ciety, U.S. National Science Foundation and the NSF-NBER Seminar on Bayesian Inference in Econometrics. Profs. Morrie DeGroot, Prem Goel, and Arnold Zellner were the program organizers. Unfortunately, Morrie became seriously ill just before the workshop was to start and could not participate in the workshop. Almost a year later, Morrie passed away after fighting valiantly with the illness. Not to find Morrie among ourselves was a shock for most of us. He was a continuous source of inspiration and ideas. Even while Morrie was fighting for his life, we had a lot of discussions about the contents of this volume and the Bangalore Workshop. He even talked about organizing a Second Indo-U.S. workshop some time in the near future. We are dedicating this volume to the memory of Prof. Morris H. DeGroot. We have taken a conscious decision not to include any biography of Morrie in this volume. An excellent biography of Morrie has appeared in Statistical Science [(1991), vol. 6, 1-14], and we could not have done a better job than that.

On Bayesian econometrics

This is a collection of the author's contributions to the philosophy, theory and application of Bayesian analysis as it relates to statistics, econometrics, and economics. It shows how Bayesians have helped researchers and analysts to become more effective in learning from data and making decisions. Bayesian and non-Bayesian approaches are compared in several papers.

A broad coverage of the application of Bayesian econometrics in the major fields of economics and related disciplines, including macroeconomics, microeconomics, finance, and marketing.

Illustrates Bayesian theory and application through a series of exercises in question and answer format.

Now in its third edition, this classic book is widely considered the leading text on Bayesian methods, lauded for its accessible, practical approach to analyzing data and solving research problems. Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition continues to take an applied approach to analysis using up-to-date Bayesian methods. The authors—all leaders in the statistics community—introduce basic concepts from a data-analytic perspective before presenting advanced methods. Throughout the text, numerous worked examples drawn from real applications and research emphasize the use of Bayesian inference in practice. New to the Third Edition Four new chapters on nonparametric modeling Coverage of weakly informative priors and boundary-avoiding priors Updated discussion of cross-validation and predictive information criteria Improved convergence monitoring and effective sample size calculations for iterative simulation Presentations of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, variational Bayes, and expectation propagation New and revised software code The book can be used in three different ways. For undergraduate students, it introduces Bayesian inference starting from first principles. For graduate students, the text presents effective current approaches to Bayesian modeling and computation in statistics and related fields. For researchers, it provides an assortment of Bayesian methods in applied statistics. Additional materials, including data sets used in the examples, solutions to selected exercises, and software instructions, are available on the book’s web page.

Researchers in many fields are increasingly finding the Bayesian approach to statistics to be an attractive one. This book introduces the reader to the use of Bayesian methods in the field of econometrics at the advanced undergraduate or graduate level. The book is self-contained and does not require that readers have previous training in econometrics. The focus is on models used by applied economists and the computational techniques necessary to implement Bayesian methods when doing empirical work. Topics covered in the book include the regression model (and variants applicable for use with panel data), time series models, models for qualitative or censored data, nonparametric methods and Bayesian model averaging. The book includes numerous empirical examples and the website associated with it contains data sets and computer programs to help the student develop the computational skills of modern Bayesian econometrics.